WW3 in Middle East? BULLS**T
This is a short summary for anyone panicking of many long posts on the topic.
WW3 in Middle East - Nobody in the area has ICBMs or nukes except Israel. Russia and China do not support Hamas BULLS**T
This blog post is just meant as a summary for scared people.
I go into detail on all the positions of relevant countries here, Russia, China, Pakistan, Turkey, Lebanon and neighbouring countries of Jordan and Egypt, and of course the USA and Syria..
This shows Iran can’t hit most of Europe. In theory it could hit parts of Greece and other countries in SE Europe with its lonest range missiles but in reality it has absolutely no interest. It developed those missiles for targets in the Middle East not Europe.
Text on Graphic: NO POSSIBILITY OF A WORLD WAR! Iran has NO NUKES and NO ICBMs Russia support Israel if anyone but were first in the UN to call for a ceasefire. No longer in the world of “Threads” Map from: Missiles of Iran | Missile Threat
Also all of those are calling for an immediate ceasefire in the UN resolution.
TEXT ON GRAPHIC: Voting for immediate and sustained ceasefire and unrestricted humanitarian supplies: Nuclear states: China, Pakiistan, Russia,(India abstained). In Europe: Belgium, Ireland, Lechtenstein, Luxembourg, Norway, Portugal, Slovenia, Spain, Switzerland, Syria, Turkey. In Middle East: Egypt, Iran, Jordan, Lebanon, Saudi Arabia, Qatar. Mexico. Most of Central and Southern America. Most of Africa. Most of Asia (except India abstained)
Nobody is calling for war. My detailed blog post again here:
Text on Graphic: NO POSSIBILITY OF A WORLD WAR! Iran has NO NUKES and NO ICBMs Russia support Israel if anyone but were first in the UN to call for a ceasefire. No longer in the world of “Threads”
I talk about how we can work for peace and kindness in our lives here and about how there is much kindness going on in Gaza Strip, for instance the doctors working to save lives with what little they have or can improvise by way of equipment and medicines:
Text on Graphic: Israel has blocked this tiny country. The Ukrainian war is in the South and East of Ukraine with the rest now much better protected than last year. There are other conflicts going on But most of the world is at peace. We are surrounded by peace and kindness in most countries. It helps nobody to be depressed and miserable. Even in Gaza Strip there is much kindness, self-sacrifice, doctors risking their lives for their patients, relief workers risking their lives for refugees etc. Kindness is everywhere.
I think the main message from the humanitarian organizations is "Don't let the Hamas terrorists destroy your own humanity and empathy for fellow humans in distress".
About the legal situation as seen by Israel and as seen by almost everyone else including international legal and humanitarian organizations.
TEXT ON GRAPHIC: Israel has blocked this tiny country No food, water, medicine, fuel or electricity goes in or out except recently 20 trucks a day NOT ENOUGH This is a war crime under the 1949 Geneva Convention Occupying powers must not do this. Israel claims it is not an occupying power saying the land never belonged ot anyone -almost nobody else accepts that argument. But it is also collective punishment as Israel called everyone in Gaza Strip "human animals" in its seige announcement. That is not permitted at all. 2.2 million people live in this narrow strip. All the bombing here.
BLOG:
For people worried about religious false prophecies from Bible Belt USA:
NOTHING NEW ABOUT BORDER CLASHES BETWEEN LEBANON AND ISRAEL - LEBANON WANTS AN IMMEDIATE CEASEFIRE IN GAZA STRIP - DOES NOT WANT A FULL SCALE WAR WHICH IT WOULD QUICKLY LOSE AND HAS NO CAPABILITY TO ENGAGE IN A WORLD WAR, THAT IS IMPOSSIBLE, NOT EVEN IRAN CAN DO THAT OR WANTS TO - MOST OF LEBANON’S MISSILES CAN’T EVEN REACH THE FAR SIDE OF ISRAEL
This isn’t new. Lebanon is one of the many nations calling for an immediate ceasefire in Gaza Strip. It just does token attacks on Israel and Israel does token attacks back.
Israel often attacks Lebanon. It has fired missiles at Lebanon most days since Oct 7.
2023 Israel–Lebanon border clashes - Wikipedia (2023 Israel–Lebanon border clashes - Wikipedia)
Israel and lebanon have had border clashes going back many years and naturally increased during the conflict in Gaza.
US will not get involved in this, Israel can handle those attacks by itself. The US strikes are against militants who directly target US bases.
And there is no way Hezbollah can fight a world war with the USA it’s missiles just can’t get anywhere near it, not even to NATO countries like Turkey. It is just not interested in fighting Europe.
There is no possibility of any large war involving Lebanon. Remember Lebanon’s missiles can barely reach the far side of Israel. It can’t target Europe or the USA and has no interest in them either it is focused on Israel.
Israel often fires back to Lebanon.
And there is no way that Lebanon can fight a world war, or interested to. It wants an immediate ceasefire. And its weapons can barely reach the far side of Israrel from Lebanon.
And Israel is vastly superior, it could flatten Lebanon just as it did for Gaza Strip with need for a bit more protection for its bombers.
That is what scares Lebanon.
Most of Lebanon’s rockets have a range of 4 to 40 km, with a typical range of 20 km.
Most of its missiles can only reach the dark red area at the top of the map in this map (20 km) or the orange area (40 km) by the Israeli Defence Force
See: Range-of-Fire-from-Lebanon
QUOTE STARTS
Hezbollah operates several Katyusha models, which are typically distinguished by their range (4-40 km), warhead (10-20 kg, high explosive (HE) or submunitions), and launch weight (45-75kg).
The 122 mm 9M22 Grad-type is one of the more popular Katyusha variants today. It was originally fitted for the Soviet BM-21 MRL, and has a range of approximately 20 km while carrying 6 kg of HE or submunitions, both dispersing antipersonnel fragments. The rocket may be fired through tripod launchers or from truck-based MRLs, and is accurate within a 336 m x 160 m space.
Katyushas make up the majority of Hezbollah’s rocket force and were the party’s weapon of choice in the 2006 Lebanon War. According to a 2006 report, Hezbollah was estimated to hold between 7,000-8,000 107 mm and 122 mm Katyusha rockets; this number has since increased, but more recent estimates are unreliable.
It may have a few cruise missiles with a range of hundreds of kilometers.
. Arming Hezbollah: Syria's Alleged Scud Missile Transfer
It is no match for Israel. It can’t fight a war with the USA and is not even interested, its missiles are all focused on Israel.
All of Israel's neighbours, even the militants all want an immediate end to the war and ceasefire. None of them want it to spread. Even the Houthi with their attacks on shipping are just doing this to get a ceasefire, say they will stop when Israel stops bombing Gaza. Also none of the countries or militants in the region even have any weapons that could fight a world war. Except Israel but it is not going to fight Europe or the USA. Russia is certainly not going to get involved in this militarily and is one of the first to call for a ceasefire.
Israel is the only country in the Middle East with ICBMs. Nobody is suggesting Israel would fight the US, that makes no sense as the US is its main ally in the world. But Israel is the only country in the region that even has a missile that could reach the USA or the Americas.
. Jericho (missile) - Wikipedia
If worried about Israel using nukes: