Sitemap - 2024 - Doomsday Debunked - fact checking stories that scare you

Why the US's national debt overwhelmingly benefits Americans - and the US can never default on its debt - only needs to control it in the 2030s - with many solutions

Simple maths: a majority in only one chamber in each of 13 states is enough to stop any amendment - 20 states have at least one chamber democrat - and the US Constitution can never be suspended

Merry Christmas everone

Why Trump can't be an antichrist - impossible in modern world - belongs to prosperity gospel - unusually sees wealth as a sign of God's approval - celebrity status is NOT the same as religious worship

Simple explanation of how net zero CO2 works: right now we add CO2 to the atmosphere - we can shift the balance the other way to sequester CO2 - Earth's natural carbon cycle is close to net zero

AfD can't govern in Germany - nobody else will join them in a coalition - CDU / CSU likely to be largest party in any coalition

Simple reason for more drones in New Jersey - FAA made it easier to get waivers to fly drones over people - based on new drone safety recommendations - most reports followed up are of lawful use

No the New Jersey drones are NOT searching for uranium or plutonium - gamma rays are BLOCKED COMPLETELY by 200 meters of atmosphere - and uranium and plutonium are not very radioactive

Many of the New Jersey "drones" are aircraft operated lawfully - not surprising in a state with 41 public airports - FBI have not yet had any reports of drones in restricted airspace

New Jersey Drones are a nothingburger - no need to tell air traffic control about low flying drones of any size - except near airports - so long as you are licensed and keep to the rules

For scared people: many things you may believe about the Ukraine war and Putin are EASILY SHOWN to be false or unsupported - example list of claims I fact check because nobody else seems to

Rebels liberated Syria from Assad's oppression - this reduces influence of Iran and Russia in the Middle East - OPPOSED to ISIS and Al Qaeda - true meaning of jihad in Islam is peace not war

Group rules for the Doomsday Debunked group on Facebook

Zelensky: Ukraine can recruit 1.1 million soldiers - shortage is equipment only - over a year to get 25% of the equipment for 10 extra battalions - send the equipment and he can find soldiers

The space debris Kessler syndrome takes decades to centuries not minutes and we are solving it - also only affects some orbits and could never prevent launching rockets into space

Sky News' military analyst, Sean Bell to young kids: “we are NOT on the verge of World War 3” and “we are NOT about to have a nuclear confrontation” - shortened version

Sky News' military analyst, Sean Bell to young kids: “we are NOT on the verge of World War 3” and “we are NOT about to have a nuclear confrontation”

How to talk to people who don’t listen, contradict, and argue - on COVID or climate change, politics, and many other things - Mike Ryan of the WHO

The Sarmat is just Russia's replacement for their old Ukrainian made Voevoda ICBMs - with shelf life only up to 2023 - but it keeps blowing up - nothing special - US is replacing its ICBMs too

Russia already dropped as many bombs a day as it could on Ukraine BEFORE Biden's permission - ATACMS help STOP this - and Ukraine is not using them to harm Russian civilians - nothing to retaliate to

Zelensky is very clear "We do NOT DO NUKES" and asks us not to spread this false message - and other nuclear war fact checks

Contents and graphics for: Helping Ukraine win is a path to peace not war

Why Trump can’t implement project 2025 - answers to four common questions

Helping Ukraine win is a path to peace not war - it wants nothing from Russia's vast territory - as Russia escalates its rain of bombs on civilians - Ukraine hits only military targets in Russia

Trump has been elected twice - he can't run for a third term - Trump must leave office on 20th Jan 2029 for last time - even Congress can't change this - set in US Constitution

How to switch off the Microsoft Start news feed on every new tab on a Windows computer

Russia only fired a TEST IRBM - 6 INERT WARHEADS - damaged 5 civilian buildings and injured 2 people - a normal IRBM test fired at Ukraine instead of ranges in Russia - imprecise - no military value

Fact checking CLICKBAIT - NOT in world war - Pentagon see NO RUSSIAN PREPARATIONS to use nukes - NO REASON to change USA's posture - air raids in Kyiv normal - Nordic booklets updates not about nukes

List of more than 10 senators likely to vote against recess appointments and individual unsuitable Trump appointees - only 4 is enough to change a 53 : 47 pass to a 49 : 51 fail

1.5°C still feasible with COP28 agreement to triple renewables by 2030 - NOT yet committed to 1.6°C or 1.7 C - though helping weaker economies and protecting nature is as important as -0.2°C reduction

Putin's invasion of Ukraine was NOT an emotional decision - likely nearly a year to plan - carefully calculated based on rosy-tinted information from spies - a risk averse man who needs 100% certainty

First ATACMS strike is far smaller and far closer to Ukraine than the big munitions dump explosion of Sept 18 - and similarly blew up explosives Russia was saving to drop on Ukraine - defensive only

Russia’s new nuclear doctrine is sabre rattling - only for an attack that threatens the Russian Federation - they know Ukraine defending itself is never any threat to Russian sovereignty

The ATACMS permission MAKES UKRAINE SAFER and is NEVER any risk to its ALLIES - leading Republicans in both House and Senate asked Biden to lift this restriction ever since the bill was passed

Elon Musk's Department of Government Efficiency is advisory only and ends July 4th - Can't stop funding from Congress - $2 trillion of saving is impossible - and a president can't close departments

Zelensky: war in Ukraine can end faster with Trump - can only negotiate from a position of strength - expects Trump to strengthen Ukraine - but by 1799 Logan act can’t discuss until he's president

Ukraine’s permission to use its ATACMS for airfields and logistics hubs in Russia is ONLY DEFENSIVE and STOPS ESCALATION - expected since spring 2024 - lowers risk to Ukraine and no risk to its allies

Why Trump can’t do the things that scare many people - answers to common questions - and relating to kindness and the positives in the world - you are NOT going to end up in a dictatorship

How Europe is Trump-proofing NATO - it can defend itself from Russia and ALSO support Ukraine without the USA - Biden is helping Europe transition to a Trump term where the US no longer leads NATO

Effect of Trump's tariffs if implemented fully: inflation doesn't fall so much (+0.8%) - global GDP is reduced slightly (-0.5%) - but Congress has to pass these NTR tariffs with a tiny House majority

It only takes 4 senators to stop RFK from becoming head of HHS - risk is misinformation leading to return of diseases eliminated from the Americas long ago - but vaccines still help protect you

Forams are only 5% of total marine plankton biomass - some may move poleward - some increase - overall may decrease by less than 10% in a warmer world - remaining 95% of marine plankton is increasing

For anyone trans who is suicidal or scared - or trans kid or relative - many in US care about trans kids - many states are pro trans - science is solidly behind you - and Supreme Court also

Trump’s presidency will have only the minutest effects on global warming - indeed he is betting on the wrong horse on fracking with the world AND the USA moving increasingly towards renewables - DRAFT

Senate moderates will discard Trump’s more unsuitable government appointments - Trump will be UNABLE to skip Senate with “recess appointments” - Democrats can stop full recess with a filibuster

Trump can’t start a world war - is not a hawk - and can’t order a general to go against the US Constitution

Trump won’t be able to pass anything except blandest partisan laws or bipartisan with Democrats - with only a 220 : 215 majority in House and 47 Democrats can filibuster to stop most laws in Senate

Why we would NOT seem like insects to a very advanced alien race - because insects can't speak or read or develop a civilization like ours

The IPCC’s own worst case climate change example from 2018 - a 3°C rise by 2100 - can’t happen any more on the 1.7°C path

Many limits on what Trump can do domestically in the USA - Biden helped Europe protect supplies to Ukraine from Trump - and US economy is recovering fast already with leeway for making mistakes

Only swing states matter - everyone - ignore all other results unless they say it’s a surprise result - Harris needs 30 points from swing states - Trump needs 52 points from swing states

Tips if you want to limit election news: good times to check results - mid evening e.g. 9-10 pm ET and last thing at night - and reminder to vote - and it IS fine to choose not to vote - 1 in 3 don't

Mount Fuji has snow late in 2024 because of warm October - warmer world has similar snow levels but more variation - more snow in more snowy years - less snow in less snowy years - not sudden warming

Race between Harris and Trump is close according to polls - but swing states likely look closer in the polls than reality - any swing state could go either way - nothing to be scared of either way

It is TOTALLY SAFE to have VIEWS DIFFERENT FROM TRUMP if he is elected - US Constitution PROTECTS your FREEDOM OF SPEECH - perhaps TikTokers make such bizarre claims out of delusions of grandeur?

North Korean troops in Ukraine will have minimal effect - only equivalent to the soldiers Russia loses in a few days and with major language communication problems with Russians

Seeing through clickbait news - BBC example - ambiguity in title can give a false impression to naive readers that UK could be attacked by Iran - and tips to see less clickbait and sensationalism

Why it makes sense for aliens to be kind - and more so the more advanced their civilization

How to train your social media algorithm puppy / dragon to fetch whatever you want online

Effects of major solar storm: at most short term local power cuts - 9 hours in Quebec, 1989 - 1 hour in Sweden 2003 - newer transformers unaffected - older models may turn off briefly for protection

Israel’s attack on Hesbollah in Lebanon is nothing to do with trying to influence US elections - Biden is in support of a limited incursion into Lebanon and is waiting to see how it turns out

Russia is NOT WINNING in Ukraine - it LOST a buffer region in Russia itself - it is well believable Zelensky has a genuine victory plan - with many ways Ukraine can win on the battlefield

Absolutely no possibility of the USA or the UK hit by missiles from ANYTHING in the Middle East

No risk of world war EVER from anything in Middle East - currently NO CHANCE OF LARGE WAR WITH ISRAEL - Iran can only fire missiles from a distance - and Israel largely dismantled its proxy Hezbollah

Russia’s new nuclear doctrine is sabre rattling - they know Ukraine is never any threat to Russian sovereignty - Biden tweets Ukraine will win this war after seeing Zelensky's victory plan

No risk of larger war from assassination of Nasrallah - opposite - Hezbollah likely so devastated it only does low key rocket attacks - Iran would focus on rebuilding Hezbollah not attacking Israel

Dare to Hope - Climate Restoration - Three ways to get CO2 levels back to pre-industrial 300 ppm by 2050 - potentially pay for themselves - many more ways to remove CO2 in IPCC AR6 / WIII Ch. 7 & 12

Ukraine war will not encourage China to invade Taiwan - the opposite - highlights how risky it would be for China internationally and also militarily

General Petraeus: Okay to let Ukraine use UK’s long-range stormshadow cruise missiles and US’s ATACMS to hit Russian soil - Putin will NOT attack any NATO country - NOT use nukes

“Putin is a very risk averse individual” - ISW - So why did he invade Ukraine? - supreme confidence in plan A from his spies - take over Kyiv government in 2 days - and Ukraine in 10 days - no plan B

Putin "Pants on Fire": Ukraine finds targets with its own commercial satellite - Ukrainians launch ATACMS or Stormshadow WITHOUT help - Sold to many countries - does NOT make USA or UK combatants

Israel’s pre-emptive attack on Hezbollah and Hezbollah’s response may not disturb peace talks much if this is over soon - Hezbollah says their response is over for today - NEVER RISK OF WORLD WAR

Not possible for monkeypox to spread as a pandemic- not infectious enough - usually only infectious after symptoms - and has a vaccine

When Putin has major setbacks in his Ukraine war he reaches for peace negotiations not nukes - US agrees Ukraine’s incursion into Russia is NOT ESCALATORY - DEFENSIVE to stop border attacks

Ukraine crossed into Russia to DEFEND itself - easier to stop Russian attacks on the ground in Russia than with missiles fired from Ukraine - also to block a railway supplying Russian attacks

Iran sure to do delayed careful calibrated response to Israeli assassination through proxies Hezbollah and Houthis - ceasefire negotiations for Gaza strip continue and a ceasefire can end this phase -

Concern is for a war like a larger Gaza Strip between the small countries of Israel and Lebanon - NOT A WORLD WAR - and both sides want to deescalate and have experience in deescalating

No Trump did NOT mean that he could stop elections when he said Christians don’t need to vote in 2028, he was just doing bizarre ad libbing like he often does

Paris opening ceremony symbols were NOT parodying Christianity - as usual it was about the aim for a peaceful and better world - to celebrate Olympian values of excellence, respect and friendship

Just a harmless small steam explosion in Yellowstone park like other geysers (nobody hurt) - and Yellowstone is not in the right state for a supervolcano eruption

Joe Biden dropped out as candidate and endorsed Kamala Harris as successor - would only do if sure Harris can win against Trump

Crowdstrike glitch is just a human “oops” moment - easy fix and most systems back on line or back soon - main effect delayed flights

Sympathy for Trump likely reduces polarization for a few days - does NOT mean everyone votes for Trump - returning to the norm of John McCain’s 2008 concession speech

Trump thankfully safe, only a bullet through his ear - united message from Republicans and Democrats saying no place for political violence - and relieved Trump is safe

Biden just does verbal slips - if he notices he corrects himself - and has a lot of support from other world leaders in NATO as a good leader of NATO for his depth of knowledge and experience

Why Russia will do nothing in response to Ukraine hitting targets in Russia in self defense - not backed into a corner - legitimate for Ukraine to target Russian bombers that attack them every day

NOT AN ESCALATION for UK to let Ukraine hit bombers in Russia before they take off to fire their missiles at Ukraine - Just PROTECTING ITSELF - Kier Starmer’s policy is IDENTICAL to Rishi Sunak's

Surprise first place for far left / green alliance in France - Macron's centrist alliance a close second - far right National Reform third - so far right won't be in government

Labour landslide win 412 - Conservative second largest party 121 - Lib Dem 3rd 72 - Nigel Farage in parliament but only 5 seats for far right Reform UK - Rishi Sunak conceded

Supreme Court justices all agree a president is NOT immune for crimes committed as president - Sotomeyer did NOT really say a president can assassinate rivals - details for lower courts to unfold soon

Yes Federal Agencies can still regulate on environment, food, medicine etc after Supreme Court overturned Chevron - about unclear laws - previous clarifications still apply

Far right likely to achieve only hung parliament in France - and does not mean a rise in far right ideology - Le Pen is getting votes for policy on immigration and economy

Why Biden is still the best Democrat candidate and didn’t lose the debate - needle hardly moved - only his speech impediment (a bit like Bush) - out of time to correct himself early in the debate

How to see Putin will NEVER attack NATO - because Russia would lose such a war quickly - and Putin isn't even trying to protect Russia from NATO

Russia’s visit to Cuba is normal - without the Ukraine war it would hardly hit the news

You are safe from: black holes, rogue stars or planets, supernovae, our sun, gamma ray bursts, big asteroids, comets and anything cosmological

Yes, we ARE headed for 1.7°C if countries keep to announced pledges (IEA) - most make realistic pledges and achieve or overachieve - an IPCC author poll is meaningless when < 20% STUDY this topic

Do renewables for power generation take up more land area than fossil fuels? Well - not really!

EU parliament far right gains will have minimal effect - except for possibly immigration policy - a temporary single issue increase - voting is very volatile in EU elections

Graphics to help people easily scared by stories on TikTok, YouTube etc with presenters who know nothing about the topic and should wear dunce’s caps

Why you can ignore all the polls about Trump and Biden this far ahead and why this election is likely as hard to use polls to predict as in 2016 and 2020 or more so

#positivenewsclimate China likely peaked in emissions in 2023. So long as they continue their current very rapid expansion in renewables they soon head downwards in emissions

Why the US constitution and legal system makes it impossible for a president to become a dictator - and judges and justices often rule against Trump

Why you can be sure that China is bluffing with its many drills around Taiwan - and does NOT plan to attack Taiwan

How to see Putin will NEVER attack NATO - “Because Russia will lose, and lose quickly” - Admiral Radakin - and Putin isn't even trying to protect Russia from NATO

Ukraine is not attacking Russian civilians - didn't ask permission to attack civilians - would be very illegal - shoddy reporting from the New York Times - running Russian propaganda without checking

It's VERY SAFE for Biden to permit Ukraine to fire shells back over the Russian border when attacked - it is Russia should stop firing

Not in any way aggressive to permit Ukraine to fire shells with a range of 30 km over the border into Russia - this is normal - it is Russia should stop firing - Ukraine has the right to defend itself

Ukraine IS permitted to fire back in self defence when its border is the front line with Russia - and it does NOT make its suppliers combatants

Russia’s tiny advances haven't reached the Ukrainian fortifications - minor details and VERY FAR from Karkhiv city - crossed into a grey contested area along the Russian border with Karkhiv oblast

No way Russia uses even a very small tactical nuke against Ukraine and no risk of it attacking NATO

China’s live drills are political defiance after Pelosi’s visit not military preparation - to regain credibility, save face, and try to undermine Taiwan’s claims of sovereignty - and why China bluffs

Effects of a major solar storm: at most short term local power cuts for hours - only once, 9 hours in Quebec, 1989- newer transformers not harmed - older models likely not harmed

Ukraine bill passes in the House in Congress by 310 to 112 - there was never any risk of a world war or Putin taking over Ukraine- hopefully this spin stops soon now

Israel / Iran tit for tat over: Israel did minor strike on military radar in Iran - NOT nuclear facilities - both sides de-escalated - never any world war risk

No there was never any risk of a world war or Putin taking over Ukraine - hopefully this spin stops soon now that Congress is set to pass the Ukraine bill with near certainty

If Israel does respond to Iran - both sides still want to keep it low key - can’t ever be a world war

Drones headed for ISRAEL - still low key as most or all will be shot down - never any risk of world war - Iran CAN’T attack Europe or USA - Israel will stop and think carefully

Iran CAN’T FIGHT A WORLD WAR - may not respond at all to Israel’s attack on Iran’s consulate in Syria to keep attention on Israel - if it does respond - likely low key and delayed

Philosophical antinatalists can’t tell you how to live your life - Yes life is worthwhile, it is a wonder to be alive - and kids are of great value to our world and in themselves

NASA live streaming of the eclipse

How to watch a solar eclipse safely - and basics of what an eclipse is

Can you spot Russia’s winter advances in 2022–3 and 2023–4? Does it look like they will take over large areas of Ukraine? No. Because they can’t

France is NOT going to send troops to Ukraine - NO WAY Russia can make significant advances in Ukraine this year - Europe has ALREADY stepped up and made sure Ukraine has enough ammunition

No threat to animators from these bizarre videos shared on social media today - very artificial and you would probably feel nauseous if you watch more than a few seconds of them

Yes Russia “won” Avdiivka - similar size to Bognor Regis or Palm Springs - with 4 months fighting - losing 400 tanks and thousands of soldiers

Trump is NOT pro Putin - just caught up by an optimistic "cloud cuckoo land" fantasy vision with his idea of ending the war in Ukraine in 24 hours

How to see it is IMPOSSIBLE for humans to go extinct from climate change in our current world - commonly believed myth - not what IPCC says